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Colby Parkinson

Colby Parkinson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 7

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Colby Parkinson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+940/-1400).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1150 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1400.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 6th-most pass-centric team in the league (63.2% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Los Angeles Rams.
  • Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Rams are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call 67.9 total plays in this game: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 39.2 pass attempts per game against the Jaguars defense this year: 5th-most in the league.
  • Colby Parkinson's possession skills have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 65.2% to 79.8%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Rams are favored in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on running than their standard approach.
  • Colby Parkinson has totaled far fewer air yards this year (6.0 per game) than he did last year (19.0 per game).
  • Colby Parkinson's 6.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 19.6.
  • The Los Angeles Rams O-line profiles as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • Colby Parkinson grades out in the 1st percentile among TEs as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a measly 0.00 per game.

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