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Colby Parkinson

Colby Parkinson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Rams

Colby Parkinson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+910/-1300).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1200 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1300.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 6th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (63.4% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Los Angeles Rams.

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Rams are expected by our trusted projection set to run 66.7 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-most among all teams this week.

Opposing QBs have averaged 41.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.

Colby Parkinson's 80.2% Adjusted Catch% this year reflects a meaningful progression in his receiving talent over last year's 65.2% rate.

The Ravens pass defense has given up the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (96.5%) to tight ends this year (96.5%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7-point advantage, the Rams are heavily favored this week, suggesting much more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual approach.

The weatherman calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

Colby Parkinson has accumulated quite a few less air yards this season (6.0 per game) than he did last season (19.0 per game).

Colby Parkinson's 6.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 19.6.

When talking about pass-blocking (and the significance it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Rams ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year.

More Colby Parkinson Player Props

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