My Account Log Out

reorder

Colby Parkinson

Colby Parkinson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers

Colby Parkinson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+780/-1050).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1550 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1050.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 10th-most pass-focused offense in the league (62.0% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Los Angeles Rams.

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Los Angeles Rams are anticipated by the projections to call 69.0 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-highest number among all teams this week.

The forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower rush volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

This year, the porous San Francisco 49ers defense has conceded a whopping 0.75 receiving touchdowns per game to opposing TEs: the highest rate in football.

Opposing squads have run for the 3rd-fewest TDs in the NFL (0.50 per game) vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 5.5-point advantage, the Rams are favored in this week's contest, implying more of an emphasis on running than their usual game plan.

Opposing QBs teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the San Francisco 49ers, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 30.0 per game) this year.

Colby Parkinson's 6.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive usage) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 19.6.

The Los Angeles offensive line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.

With a weak 68.0% Adjusted Catch% (13th percentile) since the start of last season, Colby Parkinson has been as one of the most unreliable receivers in football among tight ends.

More Colby Parkinson Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™