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Colby Parkinson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 19

Carolina Panthers vs Los Angeles Rams

Colby Parkinson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+300/-365).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +325 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +300.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 64.7% pass rate.

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 130.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Colby Parkinson's 76.5% Adjusted Catch Rate this season represents a remarkable improvement in his pass-catching talent over last season's 65.2% rate.

Colby Parkinson ranks in the 94th percentile among tight ends when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a remarkable 0.50 per game.

This year, the anemic Panthers pass defense has allowed a monstrous 79.8% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the 4th-highest rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is suggested by the Rams being a huge 10.5-point favorite in this game.

The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Carolina Panthers, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 29.8 per game) this year.

The model projects Colby Parkinson to be a much smaller piece of his offense's passing offense near the end zone this week (17.7% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (23.4% in games he has played).

Opposing offenses have rushed for the 6th-most touchdowns in football (1.18 per game) versus the Panthers defense this year.

More Colby Parkinson Player Props

Colby Parkinson TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 19

Carolina Panthers vs Los Angeles Rams

Colby Parkinson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 19