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Colby Parkinson

Colby Parkinson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Colby Parkinson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+225/-280).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +240 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +225.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Rams to be the 4th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 62.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Seahawks defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (38.4 per game) this year.
  • Colby Parkinson has been a key part of his team's pass game near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 24.7% this year, which ranks him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to tight ends.
  • Colby Parkinson's 83.3% Adjusted Catch% this year reflects a remarkable progression in his receiving proficiency over last year's 65.2% figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The weather report calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • When talking about pass-blocking (and the significance it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams ranks as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • This year, the stout Seahawks defense has given up a feeble 0.36 TDs through the air per game to opposing TEs: the 6th-best rate in the NFL.
  • When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Seattle's safety corps has been one of the most skilled this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

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