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Colby Parkinson

Colby Parkinson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15

Los Angeles Rams vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Colby Parkinson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+245/-295).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -300 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -295.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams as the 3rd-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 62.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects this game to see the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.9 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • With a sizeable 21.1% Red Zone Target% (90th percentile) this year, Colby Parkinson places as one of the TEs with the biggest workloads near the goal line in the NFL.
  • Colby Parkinson's 85.7% Adjusted Completion% this season reflects a remarkable growth in his receiving prowess over last season's 65.2% mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Rams are a 5.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.
  • The 8th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Los Angeles Rams this year (a lowly 54.7 per game on average).
  • Colby Parkinson has accumulated far fewer air yards this year (8.0 per game) than he did last year (19.0 per game).
  • This year, the imposing Lions defense has yielded a measly 67.4% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the 2nd-best rate in football.

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