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Colby Parkinson

Colby Parkinson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Carolina Panthers vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Colby Parkinson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+210/-270).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +250 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +210.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in football (64.6% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Rams.
  • With a high 17.9% Red Zone Target% (84th percentile) this year, Colby Parkinson ranks among the TEs with the most usage near the goal line in the NFL.
  • Colby Parkinson's sure-handedness have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 65.2% to 91.9%.
  • Colby Parkinson grades out in the 84th percentile among tight ends when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging an exceptional 0.33 per game.
  • This year, the anemic Carolina Panthers pass defense has allowed a staggering 80.5% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the 4th-biggest rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Rams, who are overwhelmingly favored by 10 points.
  • Based on the game dynamics and play styles of each team, our trusted projections expect this game (with an average of 26.54 seconds per play) will play at the 11th-most sluggish pace out of all the games this week.
  • Colby Parkinson has totaled far fewer air yards this year (7.0 per game) than he did last year (19.0 per game).
  • Colby Parkinson's 12.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 19.6.
  • When talking about pass protection (and the importance it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Los Angeles Rams grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year.

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