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Colby Parkinson

Colby Parkinson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Colby Parkinson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+740/-870).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +750 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +740.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 62.6% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The Rams rank as the 8th-most pass-heavy offense in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) this year with a 59.7% red zone pass rate.
  • The predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to run the 6th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally mean increased passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased air attack volume, and lower run volume.
  • The Seattle Seahawks defense has been something of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (40.4 per game) this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Rams are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a running game script.
  • While Colby Parkinson has accounted for 15.6% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a less important option in Los Angeles's passing offense near the goal line in this week's game at 6.2%.
  • Colby Parkinson has compiled quite a few less air yards this year (8.0 per game) than he did last year (19.0 per game).
  • Colby Parkinson's 11.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 19.6.
  • The Rams offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

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