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Colby Parkinson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10

San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Rams

Colby Parkinson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+740/-1000).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -960 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1000.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Rams to be the 4th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 64.0% pass rate.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have 134.9 offensive plays run: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week.

Colby Parkinson's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 65.2% to 91.3%.

This year, the stout 49ers run defense has given up a puny 0.56 TDs on the ground per game to opposing offenses: the 6th-best rate in the league.

As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, San Francisco's safety corps has been very bad this year, projecting as the 4th-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Rams are a 6-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.

While Colby Parkinson has been responsible for 10.3% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a much smaller part of Los Angeles's passing attack near the end zone in this week's contest at 4.2%.

Colby Parkinson has compiled far fewer air yards this season (7.0 per game) than he did last season (19.0 per game).

Colby Parkinson's 8.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 19.6.

The Los Angeles Rams O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

More Colby Parkinson Player Props

Colby Parkinson TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 10

San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Rams

Colby Parkinson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10