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Colby Parkinson Receptions
Player Prop Week 19

Carolina Panthers vs Los Angeles Rams

Colby Parkinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+130/-167).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +170 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 64.7% pass rate.

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 130.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Colby Parkinson's 76.5% Adjusted Catch Rate this season represents a remarkable improvement in his pass-catching talent over last season's 65.2% rate.

This year, the anemic Panthers pass defense has allowed a monstrous 79.8% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the 4th-highest rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is suggested by the Rams being a huge 10.5-point favorite in this game.

The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Carolina Panthers, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 29.8 per game) this year.

Colby Parkinson has gone out for fewer passes this year (42.7% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (53.0%).

The Carolina Panthers safeties profile as the 2nd-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in regard to pass rush.

More Colby Parkinson Player Props

Colby Parkinson ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 19

Carolina Panthers vs Los Angeles Rams

Colby Parkinson Receptions
Player Prop Week 19