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Colby Parkinson

Colby Parkinson Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Colby Parkinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-116/-116).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 4th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 62.0% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.2 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • In this week's contest, Colby Parkinson is forecasted by the projections to finish in the 92nd percentile among tight ends with 6.8 targets.
  • While Colby Parkinson has been responsible for 9.9% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more integral piece of Los Angeles's passing offense in this contest at 18.0%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Rams are a huge 8-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 6th-fewest in the NFL.
  • As it relates to protecting the passer (and the impact it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Los Angeles Rams profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • This year, the imposing Falcons defense has yielded a measly 69.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 4th-lowest rate in football.

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