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Colby Parkinson

Colby Parkinson Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Colby Parkinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+144/-176).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -175 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +144.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Rams to be the 5th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 60.3% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The projections expect this game to see the most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.5 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Colby Parkinson's 90.0% Adjusted Completion% this season reflects a noteworthy gain in his receiving talent over last season's 65.2% rate.
  • The Arizona Cardinals defensive ends project as the 3rd-worst collection of DEs in the NFL this year in regard to rushing the passer.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 9.5-point advantage, the Rams are a huge favorite in this week's game, indicating much more of an emphasis on running than their standard approach.
  • The Rams have run the 8th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 54.4 plays per game.
  • Colby Parkinson's 13.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 19.6.
  • The Los Angeles Rams offensive line ranks as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

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