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Colby Parkinson

Colby Parkinson Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Carolina Panthers vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Colby Parkinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-104/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -102.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in football (64.6% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Rams.
  • While Colby Parkinson has been responsible for 7.1% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a more important option in Los Angeles's pass game in this game at 12.2%.
  • Colby Parkinson's sure-handedness have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 65.2% to 91.9%.
  • This year, the anemic Carolina Panthers pass defense has allowed a staggering 80.5% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the 4th-biggest rate in the NFL.
  • The Carolina Panthers linebackers grade out as the 7th-worst group of LBs in the league this year in regard to pass rush.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Rams, who are overwhelmingly favored by 10 points.
  • Based on the game dynamics and play styles of each team, our trusted projections expect this game (with an average of 26.54 seconds per play) will play at the 11th-most sluggish pace out of all the games this week.
  • When talking about pass protection (and the importance it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Los Angeles Rams grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year.

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