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Colby Parkinson

Colby Parkinson Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Los Angeles Rams vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Colby Parkinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+111/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 4th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (64.3% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Rams.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Los Angeles Rams are projected by the projection model to run 65.6 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-most on the slate this week.
  • The weather report calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Colby Parkinson's sure-handedness have improved this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 65.2% to 89.7%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 6.5-point advantage, the Rams are favored in this week's game, indicating more of a reliance on rushing than their usual game plan.
  • Colby Parkinson has been used less as a potential target this year (23.7% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (53.0%).
  • As it relates to pocket protection (and the ramifications it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams grades out as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • The Buccaneers safeties project as the best collection of safeties in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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