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Colby Parkinson

Colby Parkinson Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Colby Parkinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 62.6% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to run the 6th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally mean increased passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased air attack volume, and lower run volume.
  • The Seattle Seahawks defense has been something of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (40.4 per game) this year.
  • Colby Parkinson's 88.2% Adjusted Catch Rate this season conveys a material progression in his pass-catching talent over last season's 65.2% figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Rams are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a running game script.
  • Colby Parkinson has been used less as a potential target this year (22.9% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (53.0%).
  • The Rams offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • The Seattle Seahawks safeties profile as the 7th-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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