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Colby Parkinson

Colby Parkinson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers

Colby Parkinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 10th-most pass-focused offense in the league (62.0% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Los Angeles Rams.

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Los Angeles Rams are anticipated by the projections to call 69.0 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-highest number among all teams this week.

The forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower rush volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Colby Parkinson checks in as one of the leading tight ends in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging a remarkable 4.71 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 77th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 5.5-point advantage, the Rams are favored in this week's contest, implying more of an emphasis on running than their usual game plan.

Opposing QBs teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the San Francisco 49ers, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 30.0 per game) this year.

Colby Parkinson's 6.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive usage) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 19.6.

The Los Angeles offensive line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.

With a weak 68.0% Adjusted Catch% (13th percentile) since the start of last season, Colby Parkinson has been as one of the most unreliable receivers in football among tight ends.

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