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Colby Parkinson

Colby Parkinson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Carolina Panthers vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Colby Parkinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 64.7% pass rate.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 130.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Colby Parkinson has accumulated quite a few more adjusted receiving yards per game (30.0) this season than he did last season (19.0).
  • Colby Parkinson's 76.5% Adjusted Catch Rate this season represents a remarkable improvement in his pass-catching talent over last season's 65.2% rate.
  • Colby Parkinson's pass-game efficiency has gotten a boost this season, notching 8.32 adjusted yards-per-target vs a mere 6.22 rate last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is suggested by the Rams being a huge 10.5-point favorite in this game.
  • The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Carolina Panthers, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 29.8 per game) this year.
  • Colby Parkinson has gone out for fewer passes this year (42.7% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (53.0%).
  • Colby Parkinson's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year conveys a noteable diminishment in his effectiveness in space over last year's 5.3% figure.

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