My Account Log Out
 
 
Colby Parkinson

Colby Parkinson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Colby Parkinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 4th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 62.0% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.2 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • In this week's contest, Colby Parkinson is forecasted by the projections to finish in the 92nd percentile among tight ends with 6.8 targets.
  • While Colby Parkinson has been responsible for 9.9% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more integral piece of Los Angeles's passing offense in this contest at 18.0%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Rams are a huge 8-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 6th-fewest in the NFL.
  • As it relates to protecting the passer (and the impact it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Los Angeles Rams profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • Colby Parkinson's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season shows a significant diminishment in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last season's 5.3% rate.
  • The Atlanta Falcons defense has yielded the 3rd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 39.0) vs. tight ends this year.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™