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Colby Parkinson

Colby Parkinson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Colby Parkinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (+101/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Rams to be the 5th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 60.3% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The projections expect this game to see the most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.5 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Colby Parkinson's 90.0% Adjusted Completion% this season reflects a noteworthy gain in his receiving talent over last season's 65.2% rate.
  • Colby Parkinson's 9.1 adjusted yards per target this year illustrates a substantial progression in his receiving proficiency over last year's 6.2 rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 9.5-point advantage, the Rams are a huge favorite in this week's game, indicating much more of an emphasis on running than their standard approach.
  • The Rams have run the 8th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 54.4 plays per game.
  • Colby Parkinson has put up far fewer air yards this year (7.0 per game) than he did last year (19.0 per game).
  • Colby Parkinson's 13.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 19.6.
  • The Los Angeles Rams offensive line ranks as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

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