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Colby Parkinson

Colby Parkinson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Carolina Panthers vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Colby Parkinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in football (64.6% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Rams.
  • While Colby Parkinson has been responsible for 7.1% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a more important option in Los Angeles's pass game in this game at 12.2%.
  • Colby Parkinson's sure-handedness have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 65.2% to 91.9%.
  • Colby Parkinson's 9.7 adjusted yards per target this season marks a remarkable boost in his receiving ability over last season's 6.2 rate.
  • The Panthers defense has allowed the 3rd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (67.0) versus tight ends this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Rams, who are overwhelmingly favored by 10 points.
  • Based on the game dynamics and play styles of each team, our trusted projections expect this game (with an average of 26.54 seconds per play) will play at the 11th-most sluggish pace out of all the games this week.
  • Colby Parkinson has totaled far fewer air yards this year (7.0 per game) than he did last year (19.0 per game).
  • When talking about pass protection (and the importance it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Los Angeles Rams grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year.
  • Colby Parkinson's ability to pick up extra yardage has declined this year, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 5.33 rate last year.

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