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Colby Parkinson

Colby Parkinson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Los Angeles Rams vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Colby Parkinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-113/+111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ +111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 4th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (64.3% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Rams.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Los Angeles Rams are projected by the projection model to run 65.6 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-most on the slate this week.
  • The weather report calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Colby Parkinson's sure-handedness have improved this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 65.2% to 89.7%.
  • Colby Parkinson's 9.1 adjusted yards per target this year marks an impressive boost in his receiving skills over last year's 6.2 mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 6.5-point advantage, the Rams are favored in this week's game, indicating more of a reliance on rushing than their usual game plan.
  • Colby Parkinson has been used less as a potential target this year (23.7% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (53.0%).
  • Colby Parkinson has accrued far fewer air yards this year (7.0 per game) than he did last year (19.0 per game).
  • As it relates to pocket protection (and the ramifications it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams grades out as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • Colby Parkinson's skills in grinding out extra yardage have tailed off this year, totaling a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 5.33 rate last year.

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