Clyde Edwards-Helaire Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Clyde Edwards-Helaire

NFL · Player Props

Clyde Edwards-Helaire

RB · Kansas City Chiefs

Receptions

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 11, 2023 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Clyde Edwards-Helaire Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-102/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 64.6% of their opportunities: the 2nd-greatest rate among all teams this week.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Chiefs are expected by the projection model to run 65.5 total plays in this game: the 9th-most among all teams this week.

Favors Under

Opposing QBs have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Bills defense this year: 9th-fewest in the NFL.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire's 2.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 9.7.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire's 0.6 adjusted receptions per game this year illustrates a noteworthy diminishment in his pass-catching skills over last year's 1.7 rate.
When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Buffalo's collection of safeties has been one of the most skilled this year, projecting as the 10th-best in the league.

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