Clyde Edwards-Helaire Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Clyde Edwards-Helaire

NFL · Player Props

Clyde Edwards-Helaire

RB · Kansas City Chiefs

Carries

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 11, 2022 12:20 AM UTC

Analysis

Clyde Edwards-Helaire Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Chiefs are a massive 7-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
The Kansas City Chiefs O-line grades out as the 6th-best in football this year at blocking for rushers.
The Kansas City Chiefs have gone up against a stacked the box on a measly 9.3% of their plays since the start of last season, least in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs as the 7th-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 36.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run among all games this week at 128.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire has been a much smaller part of his offense's rushing attack this year (48.1% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (59.5%).
The Las Vegas Raiders defensive ends profile as the 8th-best DE corps in football this year with their run defense.
The Las Vegas Raiders have stacked the box versus opponents on 21.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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