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C.J. Stroud

C.J. Stroud Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Houston Texans vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
C.J. Stroud Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+800/-1100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -900 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 4th-most pass-oriented team in football near the goal line (60.5% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Houston Texans.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to have 132.7 total plays called: the 4th-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • In this week's contest, C.J. Stroud is forecasted by the model to wind up with the 8th-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 36.6.
  • The projections expect C.J. Stroud to be a less important option in his team's run game near the goal line in this week's game (6.0% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (11.1% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Texans are favored in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual game plan.

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