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C.J. Stroud Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Houston Texans vs Las Vegas Raiders

C.J. Stroud Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+810/-1250).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1200 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1250.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In terms of a defense's influence on tempo, at 27.24 seconds per snap, the model projects the Houston Texans as the 2nd-quickest in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

C.J. Stroud's 64.7% Adjusted Completion% this year marks a meaningful boost in his throwing precision over last year's 61.0% mark.

0: the number of rushing touchdowns C.J. Stroud has scored this year.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 7th-highest clip in the NFL vs. the Raiders defense this year (73.4% Adjusted Completion%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Texans, who are a huge favorite by 14 points.

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Texans to pass on 54.6% of their plays: the 10th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

Opposing QBs have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Raiders defense this year: 5th-fewest in the league.

The Texans offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

This year, the poor Raiders run defense has been gouged for a massive 1.36 TDs on the ground per game to opposing teams: the 2nd-worst rate in the NFL.

More C.J. Stroud Player Props

C.J. Stroud TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 16

Houston Texans vs Las Vegas Raiders

C.J. Stroud Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16