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C.J. Stroud

C.J. Stroud TD Passes
Player Prop Week 7

Seattle Seahawks vs Houston Texans

C.J. Stroud TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+115/-149).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +134 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Texans are a 3-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Houston Texans to be the 7th-most pass-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 58.6% red zone pass rate.

The model projects this game to have the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 128.6 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Opposing offenses have averaged 39.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 6th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Texans this year (only 54.4 per game on average).

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