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C.J. Stroud

C.J. Stroud TD Passes
Player Prop Week 2

Houston Texans vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

C.J. Stroud TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+144/-184).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -174 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -184.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Texans are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call 65.2 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-highest number among all teams this week.

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in the NFL (38.3 per game) since the start of last season.

Since the start of last season, the weak Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has conceded a staggering 73.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 6th-largest rate in the league.

Since the start of last season, the poor Buccaneers defense has allowed a whopping 1.56 passing touchdowns per game to opposing offenses: the 8th-largest rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Houston Texans offensive approach to lean 5.1% more towards the ground game than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Nick Caley now calling the plays.

The predictive model expects the Houston Texans as the 9th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 56.7% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The Houston offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful influence on all pass attack stats across the board.

With a weak 61.4% Adjusted Completion% (17th percentile) since the start of last season, C.J. Stroud ranks among the least accurate QBs in football.

The Tampa Bay cornerbacks grade out as the 9th-best group of CBs in football since the start of last season in defending receivers.

More C.J. Stroud Player Props

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