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C.J. Stroud TD Passes
Player Prop Week 17

Los Angeles Chargers vs Houston Texans

C.J. Stroud TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+131/-168).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +145 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +131.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Texans to be the 10th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 58.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

With regard to a defense's impact on pace, at 27.33 seconds per play, the leading projections forecast the Houston Texans to be the 2nd-fastest in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment.

The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

C.J. Stroud's 64.0% Adjusted Completion% this year represents a noteworthy progression in his throwing accuracy over last year's 61.0% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing teams have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 5th-fewest in the NFL.

This year, the formidable Los Angeles Chargers defense has conceded a feeble 65.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 3rd-best rate in the league.

This year, the formidable Chargers defense has conceded a mere 0.93 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing offenses: the 2nd-smallest rate in football.

When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Los Angeles's safety corps has been fantastic this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in football.

More C.J. Stroud Player Props

C.J. Stroud TD PassesPlayer Prop Week 17

Los Angeles Chargers vs Houston Texans

C.J. Stroud TD Passes
Player Prop Week 17