C.J. Stroud TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 3

My Account Log Out

reorder

C.J. Stroud

NFL · Player Props

C.J. Stroud

QB · Houston Texans

TD Passes

Minnesota Vikings vs Houston Texans · Week 3, 2024

Updated Sep 22, 2024 7:32 PM EST

Analysis

C.J. Stroud TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Texans are forecasted by the projections to call 66.8 offensive plays in this game: the highest number among all teams this week.
The Houston Texans have called the 6th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 60.1 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
This week, C.J. Stroud is forecasted by the predictive model to total the 6th-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 36.8.
The Vikings defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, tempting opposing teams to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (36.5 per game) since the start of last season.

Favors Under

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Texans are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.
The Texans have been the 7th-least pass-focused team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year with a 42.9% red zone pass rate.
As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Minnesota's collection of safeties has been very good since the start of last season, projecting as the 3rd-best in the league.

More C.J. Stroud Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow