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C.J. Stroud

C.J. Stroud Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Seattle Seahawks vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
C.J. Stroud Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects this game to have the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 128.6 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • C.J. Stroud's 20.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season represents a material boost in his rushing skills over last season's 14.0 rate.
  • C.J. Stroud's ground efficiency has gotten better this year, totaling 7.43 adjusted yards-per-carry vs just 5.89 rate last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Texans are a 3-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Houston Texans to be the 6th-least run-focused team among all teams this week with a 41.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The 6th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Texans this year (only 54.4 per game on average).
  • The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The Seattle Seahawks defense boasts the 2nd-best efficiency against opposing running games this year, yielding just 3.37 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

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