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C.J. Stroud

C.J. Stroud Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans

C.J. Stroud Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-121).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -121.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Texans boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Nick Caley, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 4.0% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).

The projections expect the Houston Texans as the 9th-most run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 44.5% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to see 129.1 plays on offense called: the 4th-most on the slate this week.

The Houston Texans have played in the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing offense performance when facing windier conditions in this week's game.

The weather report calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jacksonville Jaguars safeties grade out as the 2nd-best safety corps in the league since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

More C.J. Stroud Player Props

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