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C.J. Stroud

C.J. Stroud Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Houston Texans vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

C.J. Stroud Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-118/+112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Houston Texans offensive approach to lean 5.1% more towards the ground game than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Nick Caley now calling the plays.

The predictive model expects the Texans as the 9th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 43.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Texans are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call 65.2 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-highest number among all teams this week.

C.J. Stroud has been much more involved in his offense's ground game this year (18.5% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (9.9%).

As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Tampa Bay's collection of DEs has been dreadful since the start of last season, projecting as the worst in football. in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.

This week, C.J. Stroud is predicted by the model to accrue the 2nd-fewest carries among all quarterbacks with 3.2.

Since the start of last season, the formidable Buccaneers run defense has allowed a paltry 99.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the 6th-best in the league.

More C.J. Stroud Player Props

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