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C.J. Stroud

C.J. Stroud Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Houston Texans vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
C.J. Stroud Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-121).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -121.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is suggested by the Texans being a heavy 10-point favorite this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Houston Texans to run the 3rd-most total plays on the slate this week with 68.2 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • The 3rd-most plays in football have been called by the Houston Texans this year (a colossal 61.3 per game on average).
  • With an outstanding rate of 6.4 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) (76th percentile), C.J. Stroud rates as one of the top running QBs in football this year.
  • This year, the tough Arizona Cardinals run defense has conceded a mere 5.21 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's run game: the 30th-lowest rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Houston Texans to be the 9th-least run-centric offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 37.6% run rate.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.
  • C.J. Stroud comes in as one of the worst quarterbacks in the league at generating extra running yardage, averaging just 0.63 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 11th percentile.

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