My Account Log Out
 
 
C.J. Stroud

C.J. Stroud Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Kansas City Chiefs vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
C.J. Stroud Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-118/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to have 131.5 offensive plays called: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.
  • The Houston Texans have called the 3rd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.2 plays per game.
  • C.J. Stroud's ground effectiveness (6.61 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in football this year (86th percentile when it comes to QBs).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread implies a passing game script for the Texans, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
  • Right now, the 8th-least run-oriented team in the NFL (37.4% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Houston Texans.
  • With a dreadful rate of 0.65 yards-after-contact (11th percentile), C.J. Stroud has been as one of the worst rushing QBs in the league this year.
  • Opposing teams have run for the 7th-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 99.0 per game) vs. the Chiefs defense this year.
  • As it relates to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Kansas City's unit has been terrific this year, grading out as the best in football.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™