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C.J. Stroud

C.J. Stroud Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
C.J. Stroud Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+101/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ +101.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the model to see 131.1 total plays called: the 4th-most among all games this week.
  • The 5th-most plays in football have been called by the Texans this year (a staggering 60.5 per game on average).
  • C.J. Stroud has rushed for many more yards per game (20.0) this season than he did last season (14.0).
  • C.J. Stroud's 6.83 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this year signifies a noteworthy growth in his rushing prowess over last year's 5.89 mark.
  • The Indianapolis Colts defensive tackles profile as the 7th-worst group of DTs in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Texans are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of an emphasis on throwing than their usual approach.
  • The predictive model expects the Houston Texans as the 3rd-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 38.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.
  • C.J. Stroud grades out as one of the worst QBs in the NFL at generating extra rushing yardage, averaging a measly 0.67 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 11th percentile.
  • The opposing side have rushed for the 9th-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 99.0 per game) against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year.

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