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C.J. Stroud

C.J. Stroud Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Kansas City Chiefs vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
C.J. Stroud Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the projection model to see 136.5 offensive plays run: the most among all games this week.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being predicted in this game) usually cause decreased passing efficiency, reduced air volume, and higher rush volume.
  • C.J. Stroud has run for quite a few more yards per game (15.0) this season than he did last season (10.0).
  • C.J. Stroud's 6.27 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season conveys a material gain in his rushing proficiency over last season's 4.43 rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At a -8.5-point disadvantage, the Texans are massive underdogs in this week's contest, implying much more of a focus on throwing than their usual approach.
  • The leading projections forecast the Houston Texans as the least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 38.7% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • In this contest, C.J. Stroud is projected by the projection model to earn the 3rd-fewest carries out of all quarterbacks with 3.2.
  • The opposing side have rushed for the 5th-fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 101.0 per game) versus the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year.
  • When it comes to the safeties' role in run defense, Kansas City's unit has been excellent this year, profiling as the 4th-best in the league.

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