C.J. Stroud Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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C.J. Stroud

NFL · Player Props

C.J. Stroud

QB · Houston Texans

Rushing Yards

Houston Texans vs Miami Dolphins · Week 15, 2024

Updated Dec 15, 2024 9:06 PM EST

Analysis

C.J. Stroud Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Texans to be the 2nd-fastest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 26.66 seconds per snap.
C.J. Stroud's 15.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year signifies a material improvement in his rushing prowess over last year's 10.0 rate.
C.J. Stroud's rushing effectiveness has gotten a boost this year, accumulating 5.87 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a measly 4.43 mark last year.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Houston Texans as the 9th-least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 39.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.
The projections expect C.J. Stroud to accrue 2.8 rush attempts in this week's contest, on balance: the 11th-fewest among all quarterbacks.
Opposing squads have rushed for the 9th-fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 105.0 per game) versus the Dolphins defense this year.
The Dolphins defensive ends rank as the 3rd-best group of DEs in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

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