C.J. Stroud Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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C.J. Stroud

NFL · Player Props

C.J. Stroud

QB · Houston Texans

Passing Yards

Los Angeles Chargers vs Houston Texans · Week 17, 2025

Updated Dec 27, 2025 10:02 PM EST

Analysis

C.J. Stroud Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 223.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 223.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 223.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the present time, the 10th-most pass-oriented offense in the league (62.5% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Texans.
With regard to a defense's impact on pace, at 27.32 seconds per play, the leading projections forecast the Houston Texans to be the 2nd-fastest in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment.
The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
C.J. Stroud's 64.0% Adjusted Completion% this year represents a noteworthy progression in his throwing accuracy over last year's 61.0% mark.

Favors Under

Opposing teams have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 5th-fewest in the NFL.
C.J. Stroud's 180.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season shows a meaningful reduction in his passing talent over last season's 205.0 mark.
This year, the formidable Los Angeles Chargers defense has conceded a feeble 65.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 3rd-best rate in the league.
The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has exhibited good efficiency this year, giving up 6.91 adjusted yards-per-target: the 3rd-fewest in football.
When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Los Angeles's safety corps has been fantastic this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in football.

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