reorder

C.J. Stroud Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Houston Texans vs Las Vegas Raiders

C.J. Stroud Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 219.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 222.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 219.5 @ -111.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In terms of a defense's influence on tempo, at 27.24 seconds per snap, the model projects the Houston Texans as the 2nd-quickest in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

C.J. Stroud's 64.7% Adjusted Completion% this year marks a meaningful boost in his throwing precision over last year's 61.0% mark.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 7th-highest clip in the NFL vs. the Raiders defense this year (73.4% Adjusted Completion%).

This year, the weak Raiders defense has yielded the 6th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to the opposing side: a colossal 7.95 yards.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Texans, who are a huge favorite by 14 points.

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Texans to pass on 54.6% of their plays: the 10th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

Opposing QBs have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Raiders defense this year: 5th-fewest in the league.

The Texans offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

More C.J. Stroud Player Props

C.J. Stroud Passing YardsPlayer Prop Week 16

Houston Texans vs Las Vegas Raiders

C.J. Stroud Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 16