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C.J. Stroud

C.J. Stroud Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Los Angeles Rams vs Houston Texans

C.J. Stroud Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 226.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 227.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 226.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Texans rank as the 6th-most pass-centric team in football (in a neutral context) last year with a 63.3% pass rate.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the model to have 132.1 plays on offense run: the 2nd-most among all games this week.

The forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

In this contest, C.J. Stroud is expected by the projections to wind up with the 7th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 35.3.

Last year, the anemic Los Angeles Rams defense has yielded the 7th-most yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing squads: a staggering 5.45 YAC.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Houston Texans have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Nick Caley, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 4.6% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

The Texans offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in football last year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing offense stats across the board.

C.J. Stroud checks in as one of the least on-target QBs in football last year with a 61.0% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 9th percentile.

C.J. Stroud profiles as one of the worst per-play QBs in football last year, averaging a mere 6.55 adjusted yards-per-target while ranking in the lowly 24th percentile.

Opposing teams have completed passes at the 3rd-lowest clip in the league against the Los Angeles Rams defense last year (67.4% Adjusted Completion%).

More C.J. Stroud Player Props

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