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C.J. Stroud

C.J. Stroud Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Kansas City Chiefs vs Houston Texans

C.J. Stroud Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 229.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 233.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 229.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -8.5-point disadvantage, the Texans are massive underdogs in this week's contest, implying much more of a focus on throwing than their usual approach.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Texans to pass on 61.3% of their downs: the greatest clip on the slate this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the projection model to see 136.5 offensive plays run: the most among all games this week.

The predictive model expects C.J. Stroud to attempt 37.7 passes in this week's game, on average: the 2nd-most out of all QBs.

Opposing offenses have averaged 33.3 pass attempts per game against the Chiefs defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being predicted in this game) usually cause decreased passing efficiency, reduced air volume, and higher rush volume.

As it relates to pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Texans grades out as the 2nd-worst in football this year.

C.J. Stroud's 192.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year shows a meaningful diminishment in his passing skills over last year's 257.0 figure.

With a poor 60.9% Adjusted Completion% (9th percentile) this year, C.J. Stroud ranks among the least accurate passers in football.

C.J. Stroud's 6.51 adjusted yards-per-target this season reflects a significant regression in his throwing effectiveness over last season's 7.7% rate.

More C.J. Stroud Player Props

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