C.J. Stroud Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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C.J. Stroud

NFL · Player Props

C.J. Stroud

QB · Houston Texans

Passing Yards

Houston Texans vs Detroit Lions · Week 10, 2024

Updated Nov 11, 2024 3:51 AM EST

Analysis

C.J. Stroud Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 235.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 229.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 235.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Texans are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their normal game plan.
Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Texans to pass on 59.1% of their plays: the 7th-highest clip among all teams this week.
Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 129.4 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The Houston Texans have run the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 62.6 plays per game.
In this contest, C.J. Stroud is predicted by the predictive model to have the 8th-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 35.7.

Favors Under

The Houston offensive line profiles as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing game stats across the board.
C.J. Stroud's 222.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year illustrates a material regression in his throwing skills over last year's 257.0 mark.
C.J. Stroud rates as one of the least accurate quarterbacks in football this year with a 61.1% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 14th percentile.
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 6th-lowest level in football against the Lions defense this year (66.9% Adjusted Completion%).
The Detroit Lions pass defense has shown good efficiency this year, allowing 6.92 adjusted yards-per-target: the 4th-fewest in the NFL.

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