C.J. Stroud Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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C.J. Stroud

NFL · Player Props

C.J. Stroud

QB · Houston Texans

Passing Yards

New York Jets vs Houston Texans · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 8:21 PM UTC

Analysis

C.J. Stroud Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 210.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 233.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 210.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Houston Texans to run the 9th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
With a stellar tally of 277.0 adjusted passing yards per game (89th percentile), C.J. Stroud ranks as one of the leading QBs in football this year.
With a remarkable 7.94 adjusted yards-per-target (89th percentile) this year, C.J. Stroud ranks among the best per-play QBs in the NFL.

Favors Under

With a 3-point advantage, the Texans are favored in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their typical game plan.
The leading projections forecast the Houston Texans to be the 4th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 51.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect C.J. Stroud to throw 31.4 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 9th-fewest out of all QBs.
Opposing teams have averaged 33.1 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Jets defense this year: 6th-fewest in football.
With a feeble 62.4% Adjusted Completion% (21st percentile) this year, C.J. Stroud places among the least accurate quarterbacks in football.

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