C.J. Stroud Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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C.J. Stroud

NFL · Player Props

C.J. Stroud

QB · Houston Texans

Pass Attempts

Green Bay Packers vs Houston Texans · Week 7, 2024

Updated Oct 21, 2024 2:56 AM UTC

Analysis

C.J. Stroud Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 35.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 35.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Texans are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on passing than their standard game plan.
The model projects the Houston Texans to be the 8th-most pass-heavy offense in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 63.0% pass rate.
The predictive model expects this game to see the most plays run out of all the games this week at 136.1 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The 3rd-highest number of plays in football have been called by the Texans this year (a massive 61.8 per game on average).
In this week's game, C.J. Stroud is predicted by the predictive model to wind up with the 2nd-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 39.0.

Favors Under

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being called for in this game) usually cause decreased passing efficiency, lower pass volume, and higher rush volume.

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