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C.J. Stroud

C.J. Stroud Interceptions
Player Prop Week 1

Los Angeles Rams vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
C.J. Stroud Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-122/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -122.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Texans rank as the 6th-most pass-centric team in football (in a neutral context) last year with a 63.3% pass rate.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the model to have 132.1 plays on offense run: the 2nd-most among all games this week.
  • The forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • In this contest, C.J. Stroud is expected by the projections to wind up with the 7th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 35.3.
  • The Los Angeles Rams linebackers grade out as the 6th-worst LB corps in the NFL last year in covering receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Houston Texans have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Nick Caley, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 4.6% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • The Texans offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in football last year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing offense stats across the board.

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