My Account Log Out

reorder

C.J. Stroud

C.J. Stroud Completions
Player Prop Week 1

Los Angeles Rams vs Houston Texans

C.J. Stroud Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (+103/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -132.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Texans rank as the 6th-most pass-centric team in football (in a neutral context) last year with a 63.3% pass rate.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the model to have 132.1 plays on offense run: the 2nd-most among all games this week.

The forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

In this contest, C.J. Stroud is expected by the projections to wind up with the 7th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 35.3.

The Los Angeles Rams linebackers grade out as the 6th-worst LB corps in the NFL last year in covering receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Houston Texans have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Nick Caley, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 4.6% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

The Texans offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in football last year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing offense stats across the board.

C.J. Stroud checks in as one of the least on-target QBs in football last year with a 61.0% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 9th percentile.

Opposing teams have completed passes at the 3rd-lowest clip in the league against the Los Angeles Rams defense last year (67.4% Adjusted Completion%).

More C.J. Stroud Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™