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C.J. Stroud

C.J. Stroud Carries
Player Prop Week 20

New England Patriots vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
C.J. Stroud Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+116/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -100 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 131.1 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Texans are underdogs in this game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their normal approach.
  • The model projects the Houston Texans to be the 2nd-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 45.0% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • In this week's game, C.J. Stroud is expected by the model to accrue the 3rd-fewest carries among all QBs with 3.7.

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