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C.J. Stroud

C.J. Stroud Carries
Player Prop Week 1

Los Angeles Rams vs Houston Texans

C.J. Stroud Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-170/+130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Houston Texans have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Nick Caley, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 4.6% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the model to have 132.1 plays on offense run: the 2nd-most among all games this week.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 36.7% rate of running the ball (adjusted for context) last year, the 6th-least run-heavy team in the NFL has been the Texans.

The forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

In this week's game, C.J. Stroud is predicted by the model to accrue the 11th-fewest rush attempts out of all quarterbacks with 2.4.

When it comes to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Los Angeles's group of DEs has been excellent last year, grading out as the best in football.

More C.J. Stroud Player Props

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