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Chuba Hubbard

Chuba Hubbard Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Carolina Panthers vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Chuba Hubbard Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+225/-245).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +230 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +225.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Panthers being a giant -7.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • At the present time, the 5th-most pass-oriented team in the league near the goal line (60.3% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Panthers.
  • The 7th-most plays in the league have been run by the Panthers this year (a staggering 60.6 per game on average).
  • Chuba Hubbard has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 10.0% this year, which ranks him in the 80th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • The Carolina offensive line grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass game statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Carolina Panthers are expected by our trusted projection set to call only 60.4 plays on offense in this contest: the lowest number among all teams this week.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Buffalo Bills, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 29.2 per game) this year.
  • Chuba Hubbard has received 42.9% of his offense's red zone carries this year, putting him in the 77th percentile among running backs.
  • This year, the fierce Buffalo Bills defense has surrendered a feeble 72.1% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the lowest rate in the NFL.
  • The Bills defense has given up the fewest receiving touchdowns in the NFL to running backs: 0.00 per game this year.

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