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Chuba Hubbard

Chuba Hubbard Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4

New England Patriots vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Chuba Hubbard Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+140/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -158 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs in this game, indicating more of a reliance on passing than their typical approach.
  • At the moment, the 4th-most pass-focused offense in football near the goal line (60.7% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Carolina Panthers.
  • With a sizeable 13.6% Red Zone Target Rate (89th percentile) this year, Chuba Hubbard stands among the pass-catching running backs with the highest volume near the goal line in the league.
  • With a stellar ratio of 0.50 per game through the air (100th percentile), Chuba Hubbard places among the top receiving touchdown-scorers in football among RBs this year.
  • With a very bad ratio of just 0.00 TDs on the ground per game (1st percentile), Chuba Hubbard ranks among the worst rushing touchdown-scorers in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Panthers to run the 3rd-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.1 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Carolina Panthers since the start of last season (a lowly 55.0 per game on average).
  • Opposing teams have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Patriots defense since the start of last season: 10th-fewest in the league.
  • The leading projections forecast Chuba Hubbard to be a much bigger part of his team's running game near the goal line in this week's contest (53.6% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (36.4% in games he has played).
  • Chuba Hubbard has accumulated a meager -4.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 5th percentile when it comes to RBs.

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